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Red101
160114.5
341938.0
687327.0
Blue108
33425.6
964246.9
234425.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6990050150200101108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+13
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
65Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points0
101Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.02.8
31.534.3
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End6.0
blue by 8.9
46.92.0
35.137.0
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
Second
6873
#47
27.03.4
19.522.9
Auto2.1
Teleop23.2
End1.7
red by 1.4
334
#12
25.62.6
22.525.1
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Third
1601
#17
14.52.5
13.015.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 10.7
2344
#40
25.23.3
20.824.1
Auto3.0
Teleop21.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed