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Red63
696925.0
64013.2
226524.4
Blue52
1039919.3
659330.8
7439.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56642040801006352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
39Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points0
63Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.7
17.017.7
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End6.0
blue by 5.8
30.80.4
22.221.9
Auto8.4
Teleop17.2
End5.2
Second
2265
#23
24.40.8
18.819.6
Auto6.3
Teleop16.5
End1.6
red by 5.1
19.32.0
19.317.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Third
640
#20
13.21.0
16.317.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 3.6
743
#50
9.60.5
16.115.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed