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Red158
115531.8
69491.4
457129.8
Blue116
963621.0
922032.9
529832.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140460100150200158116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+26Teleop
+40Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
24Coral scored#21
88Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
112Total teleop104
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#28
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
2Foul points0
158Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
91.41.6
75.677.2
Auto23.4
Teleop56.3
End11.7
red by 58.5
32.95.3
18.523.8
Auto6.5
Teleop26.0
End0.4
Second
1155
#14
31.82.2
17.419.5
Auto7.5
Teleop22.9
End1.3
blue by 0.6
5298
#18
32.33.9
27.831.7
Auto5.3
Teleop24.9
End2.1
Third
29.82.2
24.526.7
Auto6.1
Teleop22.8
End0.9
red by 8.8
9636
#13
21.04.3
7.812.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed