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Red205
964246.9
873922.9
179692.6
Blue98
529832.3
1045218.7
1022913.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18246010015020025030020598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+89Teleop
+99Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave3
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points6
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points57
6Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
36Processor points6
28Net points12
64Algae points18
129Total teleop75
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +107
8Foul points0
205Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.62.4
85.087.4
Auto25.0
Teleop57.4
End10.1
red by 60.2
5298
#18
32.32.0
32.634.6
Auto5.3
Teleop24.9
End2.1
Second
46.92.4
43.445.7
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
red by 28.2
18.73.3
11.114.4
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
8739
#15
22.92.4
19.321.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.8
End2.1
red by 9.6
13.22.0
10.112.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsEarned