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Red78
36924.1
188032.8
Blue93
226524.4
160114.5
77309.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions883802060801001201401607893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
68Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points30
78Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#30
32.80.3
33.934.2
Auto5.6
Teleop24.9
End2.3
red by 8.4
2265
#23
24.41.6
21.923.5
Auto6.3
Teleop16.5
End1.6
Second
369
#39
24.10.3
27.828.1
Auto2.4
Teleop20.2
End1.5
red by 9.5
1601
#17
14.51.6
12.013.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Third
8.40.5
11.412.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 1.4
7730
#22
9.81.6
5.57.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed