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Red134
703617.5
1039919.3
115531.8
Blue40
659013.4
402744.9
30535.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767540608010012013440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+34Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
52Total teleop17
Reef
7L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
60Foul points0
134Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#14
31.80.6
27.327.9
Auto7.5
Teleop22.9
End1.3
blue by 13.1
44.91.9
39.437.5
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
19.31.1
21.022.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 5.9
6590
#11
13.43.1
17.814.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Third
7036
#41
17.51.1
16.217.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End2.8
red by 12.1
3053
#51
5.53.1
11.07.8
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned