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Red83
341938.0
659330.8
37607.8
Blue42
1022913.2
950911.6
429917.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89490204060801001201401608342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
32Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
12Foul points6
83Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.6
40.239.6
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End6.0
red by 20.5
4299
#38
17.51.9
20.618.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
30.80.6
23.022.4
Auto8.4
Teleop17.2
End5.2
red by 17.6
13.21.1
12.111.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Third
3760
#16
7.81.0
8.97.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 3.8
9509
#48
11.61.9
11.59.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned