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Red21
401210.8
66367.9
542111.8
Blue65
7439.6
964246.9
76683.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537402040601001201402165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+46
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +36
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop36
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
6Foul points6
21Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5421
#44
11.83.5
15.812.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 35.1
46.90.1
45.745.7
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
Second
4012
#33
10.83.5
17.413.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End2.4
red by 1.2
743
#50
9.60.1
10.710.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
6636
#29
7.92.1
13.111.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.9
red by 4.7
7668
#52
3.20.1
3.43.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed