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Red68
687327.0
58069.8
1045218.7
Blue170
69491.4
300418.2
80615.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46140010015020068170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+88
Endgame+98
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points37
9Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +57
11Coral scored#22
41Coral points80
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
55Total teleop112
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#10
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
0Foul points4
68Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6873
#47
27.01.1
23.324.4
Auto2.1
Teleop23.2
End1.7
blue by 64.4
694
#2
91.42.8
82.985.7
Auto23.4
Teleop56.3
End11.7
Second
18.71.1
14.415.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 0.6
3004
#24
18.22.8
15.117.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Third
5806
#49
9.81.1
9.310.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 5.8
806
#42
15.62.8
14.617.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned