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Red98
529832.3
696925.0
33511.3
Blue51
51236.9
35425.9
659013.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8045020601001201401609851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
66Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
98Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5298
#18
32.31.4
34.636.0
Auto5.3
Teleop24.9
End2.1
red by 6.4
354
#26
25.90.3
22.221.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Second
25.01.4
21.823.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End6.0
red by 11.6
6590
#11
13.40.3
14.614.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Third
335
#28
11.32.3
11.814.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
red by 4.4
5123
#46
6.90.3
10.810.5
Auto0.3
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed