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Red165
179692.6
1047115.2
33325.3
Blue74
30535.5
226524.4
963621.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15741010020016574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+81Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
21Coral scored#11
75Coral points41
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
18Processor points12
28Net points8
46Algae points20
121Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
11L3#2
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
165Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.61.9
87.489.3
Auto25.0
Teleop57.4
End10.1
red by 68.1
2265
#23
24.41.0
23.524.5
Auto6.3
Teleop16.5
End1.6
Second
333
#34
25.31.9
25.827.7
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End3.0
red by 4.2
9636
#13
21.01.0
16.817.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.8
End2.9
Third
15.23.0
11.714.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End3.7
red by 9.7
3053
#51
5.51.5
7.89.4
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed