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Red92
1022913.2
1041317.5
402744.9
Blue46
696925.0
76683.2
300418.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7854020401001201409246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
57Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
92Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.91.1
37.538.7
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
red by 19.8
25.00.1
23.223.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End6.0
Second
17.51.8
14.516.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
blue by 0.7
3004
#24
18.20.1
17.918.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Third
13.21.1
11.012.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 10.0
7668
#52
3.20.1
3.33.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed