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Red81
873922.9
35425.9
7439.6
Blue53
160114.5
727220.2
429917.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69530204060801001208153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
41Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
18Foul points0
81Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#26
25.90.5
21.922.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.0
red by 5.7
7272
#25
20.20.4
14.314.7
Auto2.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
Second
8739
#15
22.90.3
23.323.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.8
End2.1
red by 5.4
4299
#38
17.50.4
18.719.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
743
#50
9.60.5
10.711.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 4.9
1601
#17
14.50.2
13.613.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed