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Qual 692025 New York City Regional
Red43
80615.6
188032.8
64013.2
Blue123
542111.8
69491.4
943713.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6913205010015020043123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+70
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave9
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +42
6Coral scored#16
20Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
30Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
9Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
43Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#30
32.81.7
34.2→32.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.9
End2.3
blue by 58.6
694
#2
91.40.9
85.7→86.5
Auto23.4
Teleop56.3
End11.7
Second
806
#42
15.61.7
17.4→15.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End1.0
red by 1.9
9437
#35
13.81.3
12.2→13.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
640
#20
13.22.7
17.0→14.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 1.4
5421
#44
11.81.4
12.3→13.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned