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Red55
457129.8
33511.3
964246.9
Blue19
51236.9
36924.1
1039919.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103600501502005519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
26Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +13
5Coral scored#2
17Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
25Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
55Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.92.2
45.743.4
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
red by 22.8
369
#39
24.12.8
28.125.3
Auto2.4
Teleop20.2
End1.5
Second
29.82.2
28.626.4
Auto6.1
Teleop22.8
End0.9
red by 10.5
19.34.3
22.017.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Third
335
#28
11.33.5
14.110.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
red by 4.4
5123
#46
6.94.3
10.56.2
Auto0.3
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed