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Red35
64013.2
950911.6
160114.5
Blue12
529832.3
66367.9
30177.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466302040801001203512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +9
3Coral scored#2
10Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
16Total teleop7
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
35Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1601
#17
14.50.8
13.813.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 17.8
5298
#18
32.32.8
33.030.2
Auto5.3
Teleop24.9
End2.1
Second
640
#20
13.21.1
14.313.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 5.2
6636
#29
7.92.8
10.87.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Third
9509
#48
11.61.1
12.811.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
red by 3.8
3017
#45
7.82.8
10.67.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed