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Red130
929527.9
964246.9
727220.2
Blue83
703617.5
402744.9
77309.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016820408012014016018013083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +56
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points35
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
24Processor points6
20Net points8
44Algae points14
105Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
130Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.92.2
43.445.6
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
red by 2.0
44.90.4
41.541.9
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
9295
#21
27.92.2
25.827.9
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.4
red by 10.4
7036
#41
17.50.6
16.917.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Third
7272
#25
20.23.1
17.120.2
Auto2.2
Teleop15.0
End3.0
red by 10.4
7730
#22
9.80.4
6.87.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned