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Red102
115531.8
1022913.2
964246.9
Blue66
33425.6
1047115.2
188032.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048020406012014016010266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
54Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +36
16Foul points0
102Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.0
45.645.6
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
red by 14.1
1880
#30
32.80.2
33.132.9
Auto5.6
Teleop24.9
End2.3
Second
1155
#14
31.80.0
30.530.4
Auto7.5
Teleop22.9
End1.3
red by 6.1
334
#12
25.60.2
25.925.7
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Third
13.20.0
11.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 2.0
15.20.3
15.515.3
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End3.7