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Red39
33325.3
659013.4
873922.9
Blue117
234425.2
529832.3
922032.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810005015020039117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+72
Endgame+70
Fouls+78
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +75
4Coral scored#20
14Coral points73
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
24Total teleop99
Reef
1L4#10
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points8
39Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#34
25.30.5
25.825.3
Auto3.0
Teleop19.3
End3.0
blue by 7.7
32.90.7
31.532.1
Auto6.5
Teleop26.0
End0.4
Second
8739
#15
22.90.5
23.422.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.8
End2.1
blue by 9.5
5298
#18
32.30.5
31.231.7
Auto5.3
Teleop24.9
End2.1
Third
6590
#11
13.40.7
14.113.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.4
blue by 11.8
2344
#40
25.20.7
23.724.4
Auto3.0
Teleop21.2
End1.0