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Red70
33425.6
1047115.2
188032.8
Blue103
35425.9
963621.0
696925.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807605010015020025070103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
0Processor points6
12Net points20
12Algae points26
50Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
70Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#30
32.80.1
32.932.8
Auto5.6
Teleop24.9
End2.3
red by 6.9
354
#26
25.91.0
24.825.8
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Second
334
#12
25.60.1
25.725.6
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End0.3
red by 0.6
25.00.8
24.224.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End6.0
Third
15.20.1
15.315.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 5.8
9636
#13
21.00.8
20.120.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.8
End2.9