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Red108
115531.8
1022913.2
964246.9
Blue138
402744.9
457129.8
226524.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10310160708090110120130140108138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points76
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
76Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points2
108Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.4
45.646.0
Auto11.0
Teleop31.9
End4.0
red by 2.0
44.91.0
42.543.5
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
1155
#14
31.80.4
30.430.9
Auto7.5
Teleop22.9
End1.3
red by 2.0
29.81.0
27.528.4
Auto6.1
Teleop22.8
End0.9
Third
13.20.4
11.912.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 11.2
2265
#23
24.41.0
22.123.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.5
End1.6