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Red106
659330.8
77309.8
341938.0
Blue87
35425.9
963621.0
696925.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83795060709010011012010687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+39Teleop
+29Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
64Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points10
106Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.7
35.736.5
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End6.0
red by 12.1
354
#26
25.90.2
25.825.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Second
30.80.7
28.629.3
Auto8.4
Teleop17.2
End5.2
red by 5.8
25.00.1
24.925.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End6.0
Third
7730
#22
9.80.7
9.09.8
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End2.5
blue by 11.2
9636
#13
21.00.1
20.921.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.8
End2.9