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Red59
493021.7
79033.4
824322.0
Blue109
300416.7
159143.5
317361.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6796020408012014059109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+46
Endgame+56
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave3
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points37
9Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
6Foul points0
59Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8243
#30
22.01.3
27.225.9
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 39.9
61.82.6
36.639.2
Auto16.4
Teleop37.0
End8.4
Second
4930
#42
21.71.3
19.718.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End1.7
blue by 21.8
1591
#32
43.52.6
34.136.7
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
Third
7903
#54
3.41.3
14.913.6
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.0
End1.6
blue by 13.3
3004
#35
16.72.6
12.014.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned