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Red45
964311.1
53323.5
395122.0
Blue114
261444.4
155924.2
304448.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6192020408010012014016045114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+57
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +29
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
37Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points12
45Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#23
23.52.6
19.316.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End4.0
blue by 25.0
3044
#11
48.51.4
21.622.9
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
Second
3951
#22
22.02.6
18.916.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End5.1
blue by 22.4
2614
#12
44.41.4
35.737.1
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End4.8
Third
9643
#38
11.12.6
18.516.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End1.4
blue by 13.2
1559
#17
24.21.4
21.022.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned