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Red104
1022326.9
814012.5
159143.5
Blue74
716527.5
300337.6
56416.7
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788905010015010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points16
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
61Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#4
7L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
104Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#32
43.53.0
35.638.7
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
red by 5.9
3003
#14
37.61.0
27.326.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.7
Second
26.93.0
17.921.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.0
End6.0
blue by 0.6
7165
#40
27.51.0
29.628.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End2.7
Third
8140
#36
12.53.0
17.420.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
blue by 4.2
564
#53
16.71.0
20.419.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned