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Red138
261444.4
279119.1
150748.2
Blue174
140545.3
19149.0
69558.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211246080100140160180200138174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points41
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +13
21Coral scored#22
77Coral points78
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
95Total teleop108
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#8
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#7
30Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points6
138Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#19
48.22.1
42.244.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.7
End8.9
blue by 10.3
695
#10
58.55.1
39.945.0
Auto13.3
Teleop42.1
End3.1
Second
2614
#12
44.42.1
40.442.5
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End4.8
blue by 4.6
191
#6
49.05.1
35.540.6
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
Third
2791
#48
19.12.1
25.027.1
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End0.4
blue by 26.2
45.35.1
35.540.6
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned