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Red115
112625.6
304448.5
42438.4
Blue30
57813.6
379920.5
318117.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101732040608012014016011530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+71Teleop
+83Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
13Coral scored#4
45Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
77Total teleop17
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
2Foul points0
115Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#11
48.53.0
25.228.2
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
red by 27.9
3799
#25
20.54.1
24.120.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Second
424
#5
38.43.0
38.541.5
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
red by 21.5
3181
#39
17.04.1
23.018.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Third
1126
#24
25.63.0
22.725.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.6
red by 12.0
578
#46
13.64.1
20.015.9
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed