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Red100
57813.6
34060.7
383819.0
Blue61
691129.4
318117.0
2299.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10057015010061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
33Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
41Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
12Foul points0
100Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#2
60.70.3
47.748.0
Auto18.1
Teleop34.7
End7.9
red by 31.2
6911
#51
29.40.2
24.024.2
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2
Second
3838
#27
19.00.3
21.621.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End3.6
red by 2.0
3181
#39
17.00.4
18.919.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Third
578
#46
13.60.3
15.916.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End3.2
red by 4.2
229
#49
9.40.4
14.514.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed