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Red83
261444.4
1022326.9
962214.9
Blue84
317121.3
42438.4
379920.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90101204060801201401601808384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
57Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
83Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#12
44.40.3
42.542.8
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End4.8
red by 6.0
424
#5
38.40.4
41.541.1
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
Second
26.90.3
21.021.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.0
End6.0
red by 5.5
3171
#44
21.30.4
26.125.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End0.2
Third
9622
#47
14.90.3
16.817.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End1.0
blue by 5.6
3799
#25
20.50.4
20.019.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed