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Red44
56416.7
691129.4
839322.0
Blue8
79033.4
318117.0
25013.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834502060100120448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+36Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
6Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
32Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
2Foul points0
44Total score8

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#51
29.41.8
24.222.5
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2
red by 12.5
3181
#39
17.04.1
19.315.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Second
8393
#21
22.03.0
24.521.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End0.9
red by 8.1
250
#52
13.94.1
21.817.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Third
564
#53
16.73.0
20.017.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End0.8
red by 13.3
7903
#54
3.44.1
3.4-0.7
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed