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Red79
279119.1
130823.2
662126.9
Blue122
301565.9
395122.0
493021.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81124406010014016018079122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
63Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
6Foul points6
79Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6621
#15
26.91.1
23.422.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.7
End4.1
blue by 39.0
65.90.2
61.862.1
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
Second
1308
#45
23.21.1
22.421.4
Auto4.0
Teleop18.1
End1.1
red by 1.1
3951
#22
22.00.4
22.823.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Third
2791
#48
19.11.1
28.727.6
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End0.4
blue by 2.6
4930
#42
21.70.4
19.219.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned