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Qual 462025 Finger Lakes Regional
Red94
27124.5
225241.1
234020.4
Blue128
559025.1
155924.2
461161.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8499406012014094128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#18
40Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
76Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points14
94Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#33
41.11.3
33.9→35.3
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.7
blue by 20.1
4611
#3
61.12.3
44.7→47.1
Auto15.6
Teleop39.8
End5.7
Second
271
#50
24.51.3
21.4→22.8
Auto4.6
Teleop18.2
End1.7
blue by 0.6
5590
#26
25.12.3
19.4→21.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.3
Third
2340
#31
20.41.3
18.6→19.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End2.6
blue by 3.9
1559
#17
24.22.3
20.4→22.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned