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Red126
2045.5
140545.3
300337.6
Blue114
19149.0
112625.6
716527.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081068090100120130140126114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points57
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
18Processor points18
24Net points12
42Algae points30
94Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
126Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#9
45.52.6
30.533.1
Auto5.2
Teleop32.5
End7.7
blue by 3.5
191
#6
49.01.5
40.642.1
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
Second
45.32.6
40.643.2
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 17.8
7165
#40
27.51.5
28.630.0
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End2.7
Third
3003
#14
37.62.6
26.328.9
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.7
red by 12.0
1126
#24
25.61.5
25.627.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed