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Red54
155924.2
383819.0
379920.5
Blue102
42438.4
159143.5
279119.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58129010015054102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+48
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
18Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +44
6Coral scored#12
22Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
32Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
54Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#17
24.21.3
22.721.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End5.3
blue by 19.2
1591
#32
43.51.7
40.338.7
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
Second
3799
#25
20.51.3
20.619.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End2.5
blue by 17.9
424
#5
38.41.7
43.241.5
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
Third
3838
#27
19.01.3
17.516.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End3.6
blue by 0.1
2791
#48
19.11.7
27.625.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed