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Red103
69558.5
1022326.9
588115.0
Blue113
53323.5
25013.9
301565.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105103708090110120130140150103113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
55Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points6
103Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#10
58.50.2
52.652.8
Auto13.3
Teleop42.1
End3.1
blue by 7.4
65.90.6
62.162.7
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
Second
26.90.2
24.925.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.0
End6.0
red by 3.4
533
#23
23.51.0
18.319.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End4.0
Third
5881
#43
15.00.2
18.018.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.1
red by 1.0
250
#52
13.91.0
17.718.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned