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Red142
222845.8
42438.4
301565.9
Blue88
964311.1
19149.0
225241.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1287905010015020014288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+24Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
72Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
142Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.9
55.557.3
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
red by 16.9
191
#6
49.00.9
23.324.2
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
Second
45.83.1
26.729.8
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
red by 4.7
2252
#33
41.10.9
32.933.8
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.7
Third
424
#5
38.43.1
26.629.7
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
red by 27.4
9643
#38
11.10.9
17.618.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed