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Red120
112627.0
301561.0
379917.8
Blue108
63930.3
300336.3
37834.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110117050150200250300350400120108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+20Teleop
+24Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points4
34Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +1
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
56Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
24Cage & park20
24Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points18
120Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.01.1
56.958.0
Auto18.3
Teleop36.8
End5.9
red by 24.7
3003
#15
36.31.0
38.437.5
Auto7.4
Teleop21.7
End7.2
Second
1126
#13
27.01.1
24.625.7
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End5.8
blue by 7.7
378
#16
34.61.2
30.128.9
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5
Third
3799
#23
17.81.1
15.816.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End4.4
blue by 12.5
639
#25
30.31.0
35.834.8
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned