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Qual 242025 Rah Cha Cha Ruckus
Red62
205327.1
493019.4
234014.6
Blue150
159149.7
222854.7
19145.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59167010015020025062150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+76
Endgame+88
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave6
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points38
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +48
8Coral scored#20
30Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
44Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#8
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
0Foul points0
62Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#17
27.10.6
29.5→28.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
blue by 27.6
2228
#8
54.70.2
53.5→53.7
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
Second
4930
#19
19.40.6
15.2→14.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.2
End0.7
blue by 30.3
1591
#6
49.70.2
44.8→45.0
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
Third
2340
#21
14.60.6
15.7→15.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 31.1
191
#7
45.70.2
39.9→40.1
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned