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Red98
99979.7
1022321.8
34061.1
Blue148
318121.6
42437.1
317374.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10014005020025098148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+42
Endgame+56
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
84Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
6Foul points0
98Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
61.10.2
60.660.4
Auto16.5
Teleop36.9
End7.6
blue by 12.9
74.01.6
66.568.1
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
Second
21.80.2
20.720.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.4
blue by 15.3
424
#12
37.11.6
33.935.5
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End4.8
Third
9997
#24
9.70.3
11.110.8
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 11.9
21.61.6
20.622.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned