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Red145
69464.0
529827.8
179660.1
Blue122
35340.7
573652.0
501625.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651176080100140180200220145122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
80Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
145Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
64.00.1
62.662.5
Auto18.2
Teleop37.9
End7.9
red by 12.0
52.00.2
51.151.3
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
Second
60.10.1
58.758.6
Auto17.1
Teleop36.6
End6.4
red by 19.4
353
#4
40.70.2
39.840.0
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
Third
5298
#36
27.80.1
26.526.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
red by 1.9
5016
#20
25.90.2
25.125.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0