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Red126
35340.7
573652.0
501625.9
Blue89
188027.9
901635.9
149332.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124100608014016018012689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
17Coral scored#11
61Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
83Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
126Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.3
50.851.1
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 16.1
9016
#13
35.90.4
36.335.9
Auto7.5
Teleop26.6
End1.8
Second
353
#4
40.70.3
39.539.8
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
red by 8.3
32.40.4
32.832.4
Auto10.4
Teleop22.0
End-0.0
Third
5016
#20
25.90.3
24.725.1
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0
blue by 2.0
1880
#14
27.90.4
28.327.9
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End1.8