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Red76
76686.5
1015216.5
573652.0
Blue57
64636.0
115517.4
35340.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708502040601001201401607657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points1
27Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +8
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
37Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
76Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.01.5
29.531.0
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 11.3
353
#4
40.71.8
32.230.4
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
Second
16.52.8
16.519.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.3
End0.5
blue by 0.8
1155
#35
17.41.8
24.723.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End0.8
Third
7668
#44
6.51.5
15.316.8
Auto1.0
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 0.5
6463
#48
6.01.8
16.214.4
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed