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Red73
179660.1
731817.8
96367.8
Blue59
28727.8
33324.5
640121.5
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867740601001207359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
20Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +3
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
29Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
8Foul points6
73Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.1
42.141.1
Auto17.1
Teleop36.6
End6.4
red by 32.3
287
#10
27.81.7
24.823.1
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Second
7318
#29
17.81.1
16.115.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
blue by 6.7
333
#46
24.51.7
24.622.9
Auto3.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Third
9636
#39
7.81.1
16.315.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 13.6
6401
#42
21.51.7
18.917.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed