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Red75
287242.2
1026220.3
188027.9
Blue113
901635.9
750422.5
35340.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63860204010012014016075113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+42
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +39
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
47Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points2
75Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.21.1
28.129.2
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End3.3
red by 1.5
353
#4
40.74.1
30.434.4
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
Second
1880
#14
27.91.1
17.518.6
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End1.8
blue by 8.0
9016
#13
35.94.1
22.626.7
Auto7.5
Teleop26.6
End1.8
Third
20.31.1
13.414.5
Auto3.2
Teleop14.4
End2.8
blue by 2.2
7504
#24
22.54.1
21.225.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed