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Red27
640121.5
731817.8
76686.5
Blue49
971313.8
929526.9
630019.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5355203040607080902749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+22
Endgame+18
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
3Coral scored#6
11Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
15Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points4
27Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6401
#42
21.52.4
17.214.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
blue by 5.5
26.90.9
15.514.5
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6
Second
7318
#29
17.82.4
15.012.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
blue by 2.0
6300
#34
19.80.9
24.623.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End0.6
Third
7668
#44
6.52.4
16.814.3
Auto1.0
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 7.3
9713
#28
13.80.9
10.49.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed