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Red33
226518.8
64636.0
96367.8
Blue61
691126.8
115517.4
26318.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487902040601001201403361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+46
Endgame+46
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +36
2Coral scored#7
8Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
8Total teleop44
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
18Foul points0
33Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2265
#32
18.83.5
16.813.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
blue by 8.0
6911
#18
26.80.8
22.822.0
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
Second
9636
#39
7.83.5
15.211.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 10.3
263
#22
18.10.8
22.521.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End0.8
Third
6463
#48
6.03.5
14.410.9
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 11.4
1155
#35
17.40.8
23.022.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed