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Red36
775919.2
362420.9
39511.0
Blue85
873921.7
659322.2
149332.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6082020401001201403685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#10
12Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
20Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
36Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3624
#12
20.92.3
21.318.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
blue by 11.5
32.41.4
29.230.6
Auto10.4
Teleop22.0
End-0.0
Second
7759
#27
19.22.3
17.014.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.6
blue by 3.0
6593
#11
22.21.4
18.820.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Third
395
#38
11.02.3
16.113.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 10.7
8739
#23
21.71.4
21.522.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed