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Red63
188430.0
341931.5
77304.3
Blue109
446723.9
77186.4
69464.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610005015020063109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +28
7Coral scored#13
24Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
34Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
63Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#19
31.50.6
29.629.0
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
blue by 32.4
694
#1
64.02.6
39.542.1
Auto18.2
Teleop37.9
End7.9
Second
1884
#31
30.00.6
22.221.6
Auto3.8
Teleop25.9
End0.3
red by 6.2
4467
#17
23.92.6
29.231.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
Third
7730
#37
4.30.6
16.616.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 2.1
7718
#33
6.42.6
16.919.5
Auto0.9
Teleop2.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned