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Red87
205333.9
1022911.1
750422.5
Blue70
501625.9
529827.8
301711.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7266204060801001208770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
68Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
87Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.4
22.523.9
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End-0.1
red by 6.1
5298
#36
27.80.1
20.620.7
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
Second
7504
#24
22.51.4
19.821.2
Auto5.6
Teleop16.0
End0.8
blue by 3.4
5016
#20
25.90.1
20.320.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0
Third
11.16.0
13.219.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 0.7
3017
#43
11.80.1
19.519.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed