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Red42
873921.7
362420.9
68803.9
Blue24
446723.9
642317.9
1022911.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5483020401001201404224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
26Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points0
42Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8739
#23
21.71.9
22.921.0
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
blue by 2.1
4467
#17
23.95.9
31.825.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
Second
3624
#12
20.91.9
18.917.1
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
red by 3.1
17.95.9
20.614.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Third
6880
#45
3.91.9
9.47.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End0.1
blue by 7.2
11.15.9
19.213.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed